Hi everybody. Tropical Storm Danny has formed east of the Bahamas. Satellite imagery and NOAA aircraft have determined that a closed low is now present and TS Danny is born. Satellite images suggest that Danny is actually a cross between a tropical and sub-tropical system but since the system weighs in more on the tropical side, advisories are being issued.

Danny is on the north side of a mid level low centered over Hispanola. This should steer Danny NW with a slow down in forward speed. After that, most models agree on a trough developing over the Great Lakes. This trough should allow Danny to take a more Northerly track away from and parallel to Florida. It must be noted that certain models are indicating a landfall in eastern North Carolina and having Danny shoot up the east coast. Other models have Danny skirting the coast and going out to sea. Since the storm is new, new model data will be soon imputed as to get a better handle on the long term motion.

Intensity wise, Danny should have only slow strengthening during the first 36 hours but then start a more rapid intensification thereafter as conditions become more favorable.

All interests along the East Coast US, especially from the Carolinas North, need to monitor the progress of Danny.

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